Although Brexit has been a reality for more than a year and most opposition politicians do not want to talk about it, it is still not well received by the British public.
This is the conclusion from data presented on Tuesday 22 February at a conference hosted by Academic Think Tank Britain in Changing Europe. The polarization created by Brexit has existed in many political debates, yet they differ in nature.
A report published by Think Tank on Tuesday (February 22) shows that the Brexit-related split has existed since the 2016 referendum, with 62% of voters still recognizing whether they are pro- or anti-Brexit.
Brexit divisions also shape voters’ views on other issues. According to Think Tank, pro-Brexit and Remain supporters (anti-Brexit) have very different views on the economy, but have similar views on immigration.
“Brexit-related identities are also strongly entrenched.”According to the report. “In October 2021, 60% of Brexit supporters and 67% of anti-Brexit activists said that their identity was very, very important to them. ⁇
The vast majority of people who campaigned for Brexit still have strong attachments to their political identities..
When asked if Brexit is good for world democracy and UK influence, both pro- and anti-Brexit still disagree that leaving the EU is a good thing for the UK.
Professor John Curtis, the BBC’s pollster and member of Britain’s Changing Europe, points out that the famine over food and fuel in the summer of 2021 has led to even more negative comments about the consequences of Brexit. Empty shelves in supermarkets.
In addition, while the majority of people in the first half of 2021 favored Brexit, the British favored a return to the European Union, up from 48% in the last six or seven months.
The Brexit issue continues to shape party support on a large scale.Says Mr. Curtis.
Support for the Labor Party among anti-Brexit activists is tantamount to pro-Brexit support within the Conservative Party. After the election, support for the Conservatives waned among pro-Brexit voters.
The reaction against Brexit is also notable for its comments on Scottish independence. Therefore, anti-Brexit supporters are more likely to support Scottish independence and a united Ireland.
“Having an Irish maritime border is an insult to anyone with a British identity in Northern Ireland”New Statesman correspondent Alibhe Ria said.
“Brexit brought to light and heightened feelings of pre-existing anxiety, resulting in a breakdown in support for the major Unionist parties.”She added.
One of Johnson’s last levers to strengthen his right – wing support was to trigger Article 16. This is a saving clause in the Northern Ireland Protocol. “Strictly required” If the application of the protocol “Resulting in serious economic, social or environmental difficulties that are likely to persist, or the diversion of trade flows.”
Although previous British governments had assumed the role of neutral mediator in Northern Ireland, the Johnson government became more self-serving after Brexit, more openly in favor of the Union, that is, in favor of keeping Northern Ireland in the United Kingdom.
The government is likely to trigger Article 16 to suspend the Northern Ireland protocol for strategic reasons to keep unionists on their side.
“There is currently a problem in Irish-British relations. On the Irish side, there are some misconceptions about Brexit.Said John Tong, a professor of politics at the University of Liverpool.
However, opposition parties in England have not yet tried to capitalize on the general skepticism about Brexit. Both Labor and the Liberal Democrats, shocked by the scale of the 2019 election defeat, have said little about Brexit or linked government policy failures and economic difficulties to the UK’s position outside the EU.
In contrast, the Tories linked the government’s success in getting Brexit faster than the EU, and this is just one of the few points of contagion that is widely credited to Boris Johnson’s government. “Excellent communication function”.
“For now, however, it is not clear whether the 2016 referendum resolved the debate on public opinion.”Mr Curtis said those who did not vote in the 2016 referendum supported EU membership by a two-to-one majority.
Six years on, three prime ministers, and after two elections, the Brexit talks are not over.
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