Other major island states will also improve: Iceland, United Kingdom, Australia (Tasmania), Ireland

[2 Agosto 2021]

That’s it Studio “An Analysis of the Possibility for the Formation of Nodes of Existing Complexity”, published by su Sustainability Together with Nick King and Aladdin Jones of the Anglia Ruskin University (ARU) Global Sustainability Institute, New Zealand explored the factors that led to the collapse of global civilization and became the strongest to deal with future threats.

The study focuses on the “complexity” of the widespread inversion of recent civilization trends, which can explain the collapse of supply chains, international agreements, global economic structures, “environmental destruction, resource constraints, and population growth” and how climate change can “exacerbate and increase risk” Will cause.

This can happen in years or decades, on a “long descent”, or within a year, very quickly, without any warning of an impending collapse. King and Jones suggest that a hybrid of these two theories may occur, with the gradual onset of ‘through feedback loops’ increasing momentum and leading to rapid collapse. Due to the increasing hyperconnectivity and interdependence of the globalized economy, its effects may spread rapidly.

By examining self-sufficiency (energy, productive infrastructure), bearing capacity (land available to agriculture and the total population), and isolation (distance from other large populations that may be subject to mass migration), the study identified 5 countries with the most favorable starting conditions for surviving a global recession. If so, New Zealand, Iceland, the United Kingdom, Australia (especially Tasmania), and Ireland are currently more suitable for maintaining high levels of social, technological, and organizational levels. Complexity within its own boundaries.

They point to the ARU as “5 islands or continents with strong oceanic climatic influences and currently have low variations in temperature and rainfall, so they are most likely to remain relatively stable despite the effects of climate change.”

New Zealand, Iceland, the United Kingdom, Australia (Tasmania) and Ireland have been evaluated qualitatively for their national energy and agricultural characteristics, and these parameters have identified New Zealand as the country with the greatest potential for relatively risk-free survival. Australia (Tasmania) and Ireland also have favorable characteristics, while the UK presents a more complex picture due to its sophisticated energy mix and high population density.

Jones concludes: “Significant changes are possible in the coming years and decades. The intensity of these changes can be determined by the impact of climate change, including the increased frequency and intensity of droughts and floods, as well as high temperatures and population change. In addition to proving which countries we believe are best suited to deal with such a collapse – it will be a profound and life-changing experience – our study aims to highlight activities that address the interrelated factors of climate change, agricultural capacity and national energy. Excessive reliance on productivity and complexity is essential to improve the resilience of countries that do not have the most favorable start-up conditions.