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Macron and Penn in the Marines will compete in the second round

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Posted on 10/04/2022 20:59 / Updated 10/04/2022 21:02

(Attribution: JOEL SAGET, Eric Feferberg / AFP)

Emmanuel Macron and Penn in Marine won the most votes In the first round of the French presidential election, Took place this Sunday (10/4). The current French president received 27.6% of the vote, while the far-right candidate received 23%.

The competition was tougher than expected. Left-wing candidate Jean-Luc Mലlenchon received 22.2% of the vote, according to a French newspaper. The world.

There were 12 candidates for the presidency in the first round, but the highlight of the vote was the 26.2% of votes cast in the last election, four points higher than those registered in 2017. Voting is not mandatory in France.

The second round will take place on April 24 It will be a replay of the 2017 encounter. In the first round of elections five years ago, Macron won 24% of the vote, with Le Pen winning 21%.

In the second round, he won between 66% and 34%. According to Ipsos’ latest poll, Macron expects to repeat this feat and win 54% to 46% in the second round, a tougher encounter than in the last election.

If Macron wins re-election, he will be the first president to do so in more than two decades.

Second round scene

The French now have to decide whether to continue the reform policies of President Emmanuel Macron, which has created a wave of protests in recent years, or to turn to Le Pen’s ultra-conservatism.

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Macron was sharply criticized for his delay in campaigning and was branded “arrogant” by voters. It prioritized the conflict in Ukraine to highlight Europe’s important role. When she noticed Penn gaining power in the Marines, her father, Jean-Marie Le Pen, the founder of the National Front, was more moderate than her opponent in lying and covering up the racist government program.

With the victory of Le Pen in the second round on April 24, analysts fear that France will follow the UK and try to secede from the European Union (EU), leading to a breakdown in integration. There are also fears that the ruling far right could jeopardize Europe’s leadership. Macron sought to establish himself as a prominent political figure in Europe, following the resignation of Angela Merkel and the rise of Olaf Scholes to the German chancellorship.

Thomas Guenole, a post-doctoral and left-wing expert in political science and a former professor at a university in Paris, explained to the report that voters have been migrating to the right for decades. He recalls that in 1982, about 50% of the candidates were left-wing supporters. Thirty years later that rate has halved. “In 1982, almost zero percent of the electorate was on the far right. Now they add a third. Le Pen’s performance in the election is improving as more and more Semur voters decide to vote for him to secure the far right in the second round, ”he said.

“The chances of Marine Le Pen winning the second round are slim. However, this is not even zero. She needs a situation that is highly unlikely but possible: unexpectedly higher voters support her than Macron; A large section of the Left voters are leaving Macron and leaving, ”Guenole said.

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