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President Trump’s fight with the corona virus could lead him to take action for weeks, raising concerns that U.S. opponents such as Iran or China would dare say a U.S. leadership vacuum.
There are countries that are testing the US determination at any time. In Iraq, soldiers carrying US supplies are routinely attacked by Iranian-backed militias. For North Korea, saber rattling and missile tests are common. At the same time, China is ignoring Washington’s demand for an end to the mass detention and persecution of Uyghur Muslims, a minority in the northwestern part of the country.
While the government is immersed in the health of the president, the fear is that a pandemic, rough, presidential campaign and sprawling economy will seize this moment for opponents to advance their own agendas.
We must not rule out the possibility that China may exert pressure on Taiwan or Russia [will] Try to capitalize on Eastern Europe, ”tweeted Nicholas Burns, a former State Department official and foreign policy adviser to former Vice President Joe Biden’s campaign. Burns said: “The US is signaling that we are monitoring and are fully capable. “
It has been a challenge for four years for any foreign leader who can be described as the wrong US foreign policy to try to continue. Trump has often blinded his aides and advisers, tweeting new policies unknowingly. Phone calls between Trump and other world leaders can quickly change foreign policy calculations.
John Alterman, Zbigniew Brzezinski chair of Global Security and Geostrategy and a Middle East expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, does not believe bad actors will take advantage of the situation. Ironically, Trump’s illness makes US foreign policy more stable.
The president is a key factor in the unpredictability of U.S. foreign policy, he said. “When you get the president out of the equation, you can predict in many ways how the US will behave. It’s easy to predict what the red lines will be.”
It is important that this happens at the end of a presidency when administration officials know their jobs, colleagues and processes.
“It simply came to our notice then – In many ways, large parts of the US government – They can do their job without the president’s explosion on Twitter, ”he said.