Biden dreams of an alliance between democracies. A real goal? Amb writes. Chechi

Biden dreams of an alliance between democracies.  A real goal?  Amb writes.  Chechi

US President’s Recent Dense European “Around” Joe Biden – With five consecutive days of summits: the G7 in Corbis Bay, the summit significantly expanded to include the invited countries of Australia, India, South Korea and South Africa, and the Brussels-born summit, finally with the European Union on June 15 – is indebted to itself for a number of considerations.

First, with this mission on the old continent (coincidentally not the first time he has been abroad since taking office last January). Donald Trump In addition to giving a clear indication of discontent with the White House’s “divorce” and bipartisan approach Business based Following in the footsteps of his predecessor, he sought to confirm his administration’s willingness to revive ties with America’s traditional allies on this side of the Atlantic Ocean. Starting with the United Kingdom Post Brexit as proof of the inaugural meeting, not trivial: Bilateral Boris Johnson To say it izing Special relationship The Anglo-American days are still good, and the Biden administration attaches special importance to this ancestral relationship.

All of this is a sign of similar, irrelevant attention, and a desire to make a common front for the Chinese challenge, to allies in the Asian region, after receiving the former Japanese Prime Minister in Washington. Yoshihide Suga South Korean President Chandran Jay-in.

Second, as he explained in a press conference about the G7 measures (“Everyone understands the seriousness of the challenges we face and the responsibility of the proud democracies”) – the United States is back on the table, and Russia (China, China, Iran and even more, after the victory of the Conservatives in this presidential election), where dictatorships began Believe. The willingness to face the challenge of dictatorship and aggression is confirmed by the decision of the NATO summit, the decision to be taken on a case-by-case basis, as well as the call of Article 5 (whose “keystone character” was appropriate to deal with after the Trumpian separatism as cyber warfare). An important commitment, but may have decided to prove that cyber-attack is not easy to apply in light of the known difficulty of handing over responsibility for one or another hostile “actor”.Attribution).

Third, not just the rules (the United States, led by Biden, intends to interpret and guide the perspective of international order (Rule based) And the uncompromising defense of multinationalism and shared values: democracies with slightly different formulations but similar in substance to the final statement of the G7 and the conclusions of the Atlantic Summit.

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As Vittorio Emanuel Parsi Zul authentically observed Messenger“During the intense European week, President Biden reminded us of the need to stay in power: not powers, but values.”

Basically, what Biden is asking us Europeans to do – knowing that he is touching sensitive keyboards in the light of our history and culture, is an expression of his Irish origin and Catholic belief in many ways – is to join the United States in a kind of “democratic league”, mainly the People’s Republic of China and the Republic of China. To accommodate. All of this goes unnoticed in geopolitics, which is well known in Washington (in the Democratic and Republican regions) that it is time to make every effort to prevent practical cooperation in taking the anti-Western key. The space between Beijing and Moscow is gradually becoming a dangerous and enduring geographical axis.

This is a regulatory measure that has not saved the Chinese leadership (Cornice Bay stigmatized the unacceptable behavior in Hong Kong and Xinjiang in its final statement), prompting it to respond to the widely mediated comment: “A small group of countries is not proposing the law to the world” (position, I am casually observing the argument that formed the situation at the time) Recep Tayyip Erdogan In relation to the excessive power of the five permanent members of the Security Council, “the world is greater than five”). Could this be a miracle, the new mantra of revisionist forces of various abilities?

Therefore, this is a bigger project than a shared headline, with the incumbent government in Washington (which has so far proven to be able to significantly integrate the exemplary idealism of the Democratic Party’s large areas of pragmatism and the inevitable way of dealing with world affairs responsibly) in its four-year term. As Biden himself stated at a press conference on the eve of his departure for the European tour.

Is everything easy if the road is clean? Not necessarily.

If there is no compromise (but I do not want to consider this extreme theory), the feasibility of Biden’s plan is, in my opinion, at least two factors that are likely to be invalidated.

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The first is the fact that the “League of Democracy” project, which includes authoritarian forces, will eventually become independent of even the will of its promoters – ending with uming hitch as “features of one of the two poles of conflict”. Civilization ”as othes hit before Samuel Huntington. It would, therefore, basically end up transforming itself from a useful tool of geopolitical character, so that the balance of power could be manipulated into an “ideological” nature (capable of being said by the anti-Western camp) at the expense of retaliation and retaliation against countries with authoritarian-revisionist matrix.

Two crucial issues should not be overlooked, on the one hand, the lack of a vision achieved within the democratic system of methods and tools (beyond the defense and defense developed within NATO) and the strategic challenges that Europe, the United States and partner democracies intend to face jointly as an “alliance of democracies”; On the other hand, it is difficult to define at what height the bar should be set up so that we can talk about “democracy” and therefore about a country that can reliably integrate the “anti-dictatorial front”. It is a question of whether sooner or later it will emerge with a small insignificant coalition: in fact it will be politically difficult to use the high bar on the American side more shamelessly, from a geopolitical point of view, with the cooperation of dubious anti-Western dictatorships, from a geopolitical point of view, to protect our interests.

The second factor that could prove to be an obstacle to the unification of the anti-Chinese, anti-Russian alliance is, as Biden has argued, the fact that security reasons are incompatible, not only with the European allies, but also with the economy. The president’s recent rhetoric applies to everyone Emmanuel Macron France certainly agrees with the United States on security, but is not ready to cut off economic ties with Moscow and Beijing. This is an average document that certainly reflects the sentiments of the German economic and industrial establishment, our country and other major European countries.

This emerging difficulty for Europe in adapting its loyalty and shared values ​​to its US allies in the security sector to promote its own interests in the export sector means that security and the economy are increasingly intertwined. Think telecommunications, the controversial 5G network, batteries, and microprocessors needed to make high-value products: from mobile phones to cars. In all these cases (but others can be cited) they can lead at least some Europeans to China than to the United States. Given the dragon’s remarkable growth in the most innovative areas, this is, in view, an open competition that can become more and more.

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There is reason to believe that the Biden government will take clear gestures to convince Europeans of firmness and credibility. last but not least, The stability of the proposed approach. For example, the decision to intervene more decisively in Libya could be – something that is not on the agenda at the moment – or to invest heavily in European countries (when the G7 ends in a hyperbolic aid program – “build back better world” – in a western country on the Chinese-led Silk Road, in favor of the poorer states. Without specifying where the large sum will come from). In any case, the agreement between the United States and the European Union should be recorded on the basis of a twenty-year-long dispute between Boeing and Airbus.

In short, the “alliance of democratic nations” advocated by the Democratic president is certainly a goal to be pursued, and it is a stimulus to efforts on both sides of the Atlantic Ocean to achieve a lasting and broader qualitative leap in relations between the two shores. However, it is too early to get the exact answer to the basic question I want to summarize as follows: In the context of common threats, can the centralized power of shared values ​​transcend that centralized commercial and commercial? What are the interests of the good countries involved?

The facts will tell, but whose answer, in one sense or another, will largely depend on the quality of Atlantic maritime relations in the years to come.

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